Polling stations in the US are closed, but there is still no clear winner: Donald Trump can win important states, Joe Biden must move forward. The current results.
Presidential elections in the US are expected to be decided, as it was four years ago in the Midwestern states. Much will remain the same in the 2020 US election, with about 30 of the 50 US states having no change of victorious party from 2016.
Democrats challenger Joe Biden does not get the hoped-for victory. Instead, the results from Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania will likely decide.
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Biden can win Arizona to the Southwest, Maine and, according to an extrapolation by the polling station Edison Research, Rhode Island, but Trump brings Texas, Ohio and Florida.
It is possible that the count will take a long time in some important places. In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, there were delays in counting, not least because of different rules for handling postal ballots. In the particularly competitive state of Pennsylvania, it is unclear when a result can be certain. The reason for the delay is that in some states, including Pennsylvania, postal ballots are accepted postmarked on election day, even if they are received by authorities a few days after the election. At 3 p.m. German time, there should be at least one new intermediate result from Pennsylvania. The state has 20 voters who could ultimately be decisive.
These are the current results of the United States presidential election:
The Ohio victory bodes well for Trump in terms of Midwestern states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. These states had already given Trump his narrow election victory in 2016; they are all characterized by a fairly white workforce.
There are also signs of victories for Trump in North Carolina and Georgia. The Republican badly needs these states. Biden is still hoping for success in Georgia.
Who is at the forefront of which states?
Polling stations have closed in about two dozen states in the US, and the US media is quick to declare expected winners in some states.
In these US states, Trump is in the lead (number of voters per state in brackets): Texas (38), Indiana (11), South Carolina (9), Oklahoma (7), Arkansas (6), Ohio (18), West Virginia (5), Tennessee (11), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8) Wyoming (3), North Dakota (3) ), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (4), Kansas (6), Utah (6), Idaho (4) and Montana (3).
Biden is at the forefront of these states: New York (29), California (55), Arizona (11), Washington (12), Minnesota (10), Maine (4), Oregon (7), Vermont (3), Delaware (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Connecticut (7), New Jersey (14), Illinois (20), Rhode Island (4), Missouri (10), New Hampshire (4), Nebraska ( 1), Colorado (9), Hawaii (4), Rhode Island (4) and the federal capital Washington DC (3).
In the race for the American presidency, the focus is on the particularly hotly contested states, in which the majorities keep switching between Democrats and Republicans.
Major “swing states” include Florida, where 29 voters get the winners, Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18) and North Carolina (15). However, polls also pointed to a head-to-head race in Texas, which Trump could win in the current situation. The densely populated southern state with 38 voters has been going to Republicans for decades. In polls, Trump was only slightly ahead of Biden.
The president is not directly elected by the people, but by 538 electoral men and women. Each state has a certain number, depending on the population size. The candidate with the most votes in the state, in effect, registers all the state’s electorate for himself. Exception: In Maine and Nebraska, electorate votes are divided according to majorities in the constituencies. The state overall winner will receive two more votes.
Due to the corona pandemic, it is difficult to assess counting status during election night this year. Many Biden supporters had stated that they wanted to vote by letter. President Trump’s voters voted earlier on election day. States have different methods of counting which votes and when, so that wide fluctuations are possible during election night.
Democrats or Republicans – Who Gets the Majority in Congress?
On November 3, not only will the US president be elected, but also the House of Representatives and the Senate. Democrats can defend their majority in the House of Representatives.
These are the current projections for the race for the House of Representatives:
The 435 members of the House of Representatives each represent one constituency and are directly elected every two years. The survey shown reflects trends in the constituencies. Even if the Democrats have lost all races currently considered “close”, they should still retain a majority.
Exciting battle for the Senate – who comes first?
The battle for the Senate looks fiercer and it is still completely unclear which party can obtain a majority here after the elections in November. About a third of the Senate is re-elected every two years. This third is highlighted in the image.
Here are the current projections:
The Senate consists of 100 senators. Each state has two seats. In the states that must grant a mandate, decisions are taken by majority vote. The survey values shown reflect the trends in the states.
The Democrats saw the election forecasts as a small advantage. If confirmed, the party could win majorities in Congress and the Senate in addition to the US presidency. That would give them ample room for maneuver for the next two years and would mean a severe defeat for Trump and the Republicans.