It would be a historic success. Borussia Mönchengladbach could go back to the Champions League round of 16 for the first time in 43 years. But against Real, a lead threatens to be a great game.
It is Borussia Mönchengladbach’s third Champions League appearance in five years. And this time, Borussia has a realistic chance of making it to the round of 16 – for the first time in 43 years. Nevertheless, advancement in the Champions League could be a great match for the foals. Because the group is extremely close together.
The leader is Borussia Mönchengladbach with eight points and only one defeat. Shakhtar Donetsk’s Ukrainians are currently in second place with seven points. Real Madrid followed in third place with seven points. Bottom of the group is Inter Milan with five points – but the Italians still have a chance to make it to the round of 16.
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By the way: if there is a tie in the Champions League, it is not the goal difference that counts, but the direct comparison. Gladbach beat Donetsk, but lost to Inter. Real lost him on the other side of Donetsk, but won against Inter.
The different scenarios at a glance:
1. Gladbach beats Real Madrid
If they were to beat Los Blancos, coach Marco Rose’s team would have 11 points to their account and not only reach a Champions League round of 16 for the first time since 1977 (then the European Cup, the foals would also first in the group) and would therefore be in a good starting position for the knockout phase.
2. Gladbach draws against Real Madrid
If Real Madrid and Borussia Mönchengladbach share points, Gladbach would have nine points, Real eight. This would mean that the team from the Lower Rhine would certainly be in the eighth finals, but with a simultaneous victory of Shakhtar Donetsk over Inter Milan, they would only be second in the group. Donetsk would be first, Madrid should play in the Europa League. Should Inter win from Donetsk, Madrid will be in the Europa League and Gladbach will be the group winner.
3. Gladbach loses to Real Madrid
A defeat in Madrid would be the worst result for Borussia. Then they would have to tremble to move forward. Gladbach would not be in the round of 16 until Donetsk draws against Inter Milan. If Donetsk wins, the Ukrainians and Real will each have ten points, Gladbach eight and Inter five. But even if Inter Milan were to win, Borussia wouldn’t make it to the round of 16. Then Madrid would be the group winner, Inter and Gladbach would both have eight points. Marco Rose’s team has the better goal difference over Milan, but with the 2: 3 defeat last week, Inter wins the direct comparison and would be in the knockout stages.
The good news for the foals: fourth place is no longer possible. In any case, they remain in the European competition.